Showing posts with label exposed. Show all posts
Showing posts with label exposed. Show all posts

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Exposed: Week 14

Check out this week's Exposed, where Aaron Rudnicki and I take a look at some of the best and worst matchups for receivers and tight ends. Here is a sampling of the goods:

GOOD MATCHUPS 
A.J. Green, WR, CIN vs. PIT ($8,500)Marvin Jones, WR, CIN vs. PIT ($6,200) 
Miglio: The Pittsburgh Steelers cannot stop the pass, at least not against quality opponents. The last time A.J. Green faced this defense he posted 11 receptions for 118 yards and a touchdown. He makes for an excellent cash game option, whileMarvin Jones can be a sneaky good GPP play. 
Rudnicki: The Steelers improved their pass defense by benching struggling corner Antwon Blake, but it wasn’t just one player causing all their problems so they are certainly still vulnerable. Despite a strong game against the Colts last week, they were also torched for 5 pass TDs to Seahawks WRs a week prior. With a Vegas total of 50 points, this game should be high scoring so it’s probably not a bad idea to target several WRs in this matchup and Green and Jones are both strong threats to find the endzone. 
BAD MATCHUPS  
Charles Clay, TE, BUF @ PHI ($5,100) 
Miglio: The Eagles gave up a touchdown to Scott Chandler last week, but those have come few and far between for opposing tight ends. Charles Clay isn’t exactly the most consistent tight end in the league, either. 
Rudnicki: The Eagles have proven to be a tough defense against opposing tight ends this year, despite significant struggles elsewhere. Clay has shown flashes of his ability with some big games, but he has also had an inconsistent role in the Bills offense. The Eagles pass rush seemed to heat up last week, and Clay could be kept in to block quite a bit given some key injuries to the Bills offensive line.

Saturday, November 28, 2015

Exposed: Week 12

Here is a snippet from this week's Exposed, which can be found on FBG main:


GOOD MATCHUPS Jarvis Landry, WR, MIA @ NYJ ($7,000) 
Miglio: The Dolphins offense isn’t very good right now, and the Jets defense is great. One of those statements is false. 
The latter statement was true as of a few weeks ago, but injuries and decline have hammered New York as of late. Darrelle Revis was smoked by Houston receiver DeAndre Hopkins before being concussed, and Revis Island might be closed for repairs over the next week or two. 
Rudnicki: Revis spent some time shadowing Landry in their earlier matchup, but he’s in danger of missing this matchup due to a concussion. That would really leave a huge hole in the Jets secondary as Buster Skrine is playing through an injury, and Antonio Cromartie is struggling a bit. Even if Revis were able to play, he hasn’t looked very impressive the past several weeks, so there is certainly an opportunity for Landry to post a big game here. 
BAD MATCHUPS 
Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN @ ATL ($6,600) 
Miglio: Desmond Trufant has been excellent this season for the Falcons, a big reason why Atlanta has allowed just three touchdowns to opposing receivers. Stefon Diggs is next in Trufant’s sights. 
Rudnicki: Although Atlanta seems to be slipping overall, their pass defense has been surprisingly strong. Over the past five games, they have only allowed one touchdown to an opposing receiver and none have gone over five catches and 50 yards in the same game. Diggs has also cooled off the past few weeks as the Vikings passing game has remained generally unimpressive.

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Week 11 Exposed

Check out this week's Exposed, where we look at good and bad matchups for wide receivers and tight ends. An excerpt:

GOOD MATCHUPS 
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET vs. OAK ($8,100)Golden Tate, WR, DET vs. OAK ($6,200)Eric Ebron, TE, DET vs. OAK ($5,400) 
Miglio: It’s cherries jubilee for the Detroit passing offense. About the only issue here is the fact there will only be so many targets to go around. Unless Matthew Stafford throws 62 passes, anyway. 
Rudnicki: The Raiders got a small boost to their secondary when they activated CB T.J. Carrie off IR and sent David Amerson back to the bench, but this is still one of the worst pass defenses in the league. The Vikings didn’t really test them last week as they had plenty of success with the run game, but the Lions can’t run on anybody. This is a great matchup for the Lions passing game with the only real concern being the Raiders pass rush not giving Matthew Stafford much time in the pocket. 
BAD MATCHUPS 
T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND @ ATL ($7,200) 
Miglio: Josh Norman has gotten all the new-generation hype at cornerback this season, but Desmond Trufant has quietly become one of the better corners in the league, too. He figures to shadow T.Y.  Hilton, who has Matt Hasselbeck throwing passes to him for the foreseeable future. 
Rudnicki: Hilton figures to see a lot of Desmond Trufant this week, who hasn’t given up much to anybody all year. The change at QB to Matt Hasselbeck also suggests a bigger focus on the short and intermediate passing game, which likely helps Andre Johnson and hurts Hilton.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Exposed: Week 6

Check out this week's Exposed, where Aaron Rudnicki and I cover good and bad matchups for wide receivers and tight ends. Here is an excerpt:

GOOD MATCHUPS 
Mike Wallace, WR, MIN vs. KC ($5,400)Adam Thielen, WR, MIN vs. KC ($4,500) 
Miglio: The Kansas City Chiefs have not been very good on defense. That is especially true for that secondary, one that has allowed the most fantasy PPG to opposing receivers. Having faced a gauntlet that includes DeAndre HopkinsDemaryius ThomasRandall Cobb, and A.J. Green hasn’t helped matters, but guys like Marquess Wilson and Brandon Tate have also scored on the unit. That’s where low-priced options like Adam Thielen come into the picture -- he actually got more snaps than rookie counterpart Stefon Diggs last week. Of course, if Charles Johnson and Mike Wallace make it back from injury, Thielen's appeal disappears. Wallace looks to be on track to play, which makes him a rather enticing option at that price.  
Rudnicki: The Chiefs have surprisingly been the most generous matchup for receivers this year with 11 touchdowns allowed. Things have improved since Sean Smith returned from suspension, but they still had trouble with the Bears last week who were without their top two wideouts. The Vikings could also be without two or three of their top receivers this week, which should create a lot of opportunity for players further down the depth chart. Both Wallace and Thielen productive against a much tougher Broncos secondary in their last game, and you have to think they will find things even easier here. 
BAD MATCHUPS  
Travis Benjamin, WR, CLE vs. DEN ($6,300) 
Miglio: The Cleveland Browns offense is clicking like a metronome set at 140 BPM thus far this season. But a rendezvous with the NFL’s best defense could bring the beat to a halt. 
Rudnicki: Josh McCown is on a roll, but it should all come crashing to a halt this week when the Broncos pay a visit. Chris Harris and Aqib Talib make things difficult for almost every receiver they face, and have combined to allow just one touchdown to an opposing receivers all season.

Thursday, October 1, 2015

Exposed: Week 4

Here is an excerpt from this week's Exposed article at Footballguys, where all the FanDuel content is free for Week 4!

GOOD MATCHUPS 
 Nelson Agholor, WR, PHI @ WAS ($4,900) 
Miglio: It might be best to fade the entire Philadelphia-Washington tilt with Hurricane Joaquin threatening the mid-Atlantic coast, but you never know what value you might find if the game is indeed played as scheduled. The Philadelphia Eagles got off the schneid last week, but that doesn’t mean the passing game got on track. Washington’s secondary should help get Sam Bradford and Co. firing on all cylinders. That includes Nelson Agholor, who has been a ghost on offense thus far this season after plenty of preseason hype.
Rudnicki: Agholor has not looked comfortable yet, but he’s not alone when it comes to the struggles of the Eagles passing attack. He was shut out last week while matched up primarily against Darrelle Revis, but gets a much more favorable matchup this week (if the weather holds up). Washington’s starting LCB DeAngelo Hall is out and will likely be replaced byBashaud Breeland, who gave up 8 catches and two touchdowns on just 10 targets last week.

BAD MATCHUPS 
Mike Evans, WR, TB vs. CAR ($7,500) 
Miglio: Has Josh Norman begun construction on his island yet? Carolina's cornerback has quickly climbed the ranks, and he has become a nightmare for opposing wide receivers. Evans might be a target hog, but lining up against Norman is bad news for fantasy business. 
Rudnicki: Evans struggled a bit against Johnathan Joseph last week, but overall had a solid outing with seven catches on an amazing 17 targets. If Tampa keeps throwing to him that often, he almost has to put up good numbers again, but I’d be wary of him lining up across from Josh Norman this week. Also, the Panthers offense is the type that will try to grind out the clock and control the ball, which would also limit the chances for Evans. There are only a handful of corners in the league you want to avoid going up against, and Norman is probably in that group.