FanDuel Contrarian Plays: Week 6

Chalk is in. The winning lineup for FandDuel’s Sunday Million had average ownership of 5.7, 8.5 and 8.2 percent through the first three weeks of the season. In the past two weeks those numbers increased to 13 percent in Week 4, and 15.8 percent in Week 5. But we'll still stick to our process of chasing under-owned players. Below is an excerpt from this week's contrarian plays:

Quarterbacks

Player	Salary	Game	Own %	Player	Salary	Game	Own %
Tom Brady	$9000	NE@IND	18.5	Colin Kaepernick	$7300	BAL@SF	1.7
Andy Dalton	$7600	CIN@BUF	15.7	Cam Newton	$8000	CAR@SEA	1.5
Carson Palmer	$8000	ARI@PIT	6	Joe Flacco	$7800	BAL@SF	1.4
Aaron Rodgers	$9300	SD@GB	5.3	Peyton Manning	$8100	DEN@CLE	1.3
Blake Bortles	$7300	HOU@JAC	4.8	Jay Cutler	$7500	CHI@DET	1.2
Eli Manning	$7800	NYG@PHI	4.6	Teddy Bridgewater	$6600	KC@MIN	1.2
Marcus Mariota	$7200	MIA@TEN	2.8	Russell Wilson	$8000	CAR@SEA	0.6
Philip Rivers	$7500	SD@GB	2.5	Ryan Tannehill	$7700	MIA@TEN	0.6
Sam Bradford	$7700	NYG@PHI	2.2	Andrew Luck	$8600	NE@IND	0.5
Matthew Stafford	$6900	CHI@DET	2.2	E.J. Manuel	$5500	CIN@BUF	0.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick	$6900	WAS@NYJ	1.7

It seems like every time Colin Kaepernick is written up as a good contrarian play, he turns in three interceptions and below 200 yards. Surely, this is the week where he makes us look good. Only the Chiefs have allowed more points to quarterbacks than the Ravens, who in addition to giving up the fifth most passing yards, have allowed the eighth most rushing yards and two rushing scores. Kaepernick, who finished as QB10 last week, should be able to throw and run freely at home.

The return of Jay Cutler secured tight wins for the Bears in Week 4 and Week 5. Over that timeframe, since coming back from injury, Cutler is the 10^th highest scoring quarterback. This week he is on the road against a division rival that is allowing an average of 22 points per game to quarterbacks. Cutler needs only 22.9 points to hit tournament value. If Alshon Jeffery is cleared to play, we especially like his value.

You can read the rest here.

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