Saturday, October 17, 2015

FanDuel Contrarian Plays: Week 6

Chalk is in. The winning lineup for FandDuel’s Sunday Million had average ownership of 5.7, 8.5 and 8.2 percent through the first three weeks of the season. In the past two weeks those numbers increased to 13 percent in Week 4, and 15.8 percent in Week 5. But we'll still stick to our process of chasing under-owned players. Below is an excerpt from this week's contrarian plays:

Quarterbacks


Player

Salary

Game

Own %

Player

Salary

Game

Own %

Tom Brady $9000 NE@IND 18.5 Colin Kaepernick $7300 BAL@SF 1.7
Andy Dalton $7600 CIN@BUF 15.7 Cam Newton $8000 CAR@SEA 1.5
Carson Palmer $8000 ARI@PIT 6 Joe Flacco $7800 BAL@SF 1.4
Aaron Rodgers $9300 SD@GB 5.3 Peyton Manning $8100 DEN@CLE 1.3
Blake Bortles $7300 HOU@JAC 4.8 Jay Cutler $7500 CHI@DET 1.2
Eli Manning $7800 NYG@PHI 4.6 Teddy Bridgewater $6600 KC@MIN 1.2
Marcus Mariota $7200 MIA@TEN 2.8 Russell Wilson $8000 CAR@SEA 0.6
Philip Rivers $7500 SD@GB 2.5 Ryan Tannehill $7700 MIA@TEN 0.6
Sam Bradford $7700 NYG@PHI 2.2 Andrew Luck $8600 NE@IND 0.5
Matthew Stafford $6900 CHI@DET 2.2 E.J. Manuel $5500 CIN@BUF 0.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick$6900WAS@NYJ1.7


It seems like every time Colin Kaepernick is written up as a good contrarian play, he turns in three interceptions and below 200 yards. Surely, this is the week where he makes us look good. Only the Chiefs have allowed more points to quarterbacks than the Ravens, who in addition to giving up the fifth most passing yards, have allowed the eighth most rushing yards and two rushing scores. Kaepernick, who finished as QB10 last week, should be able to throw and run freely at home.

The return of Jay Cutler secured tight wins for the Bears in Week 4 and Week 5. Over that timeframe, since coming back from injury, Cutler is the 10th highest scoring quarterback. This week he is on the road against a division rival that is allowing an average of 22 points per game to quarterbacks. Cutler needs only 22.9 points to hit tournament value. If Alshon Jeffery is cleared to play, we especially like his value.

You can read the rest here.


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