CONSENSUS PLAYS OF WEEK
Another week, another high Vegas team total for the Patriots and top ownership forTom Brady. The 12% ownership from Thursday Night is a middling mark for the top quarterback in recent weeks. Cam Newton, Andy Dalton, Drew Brees, and Blake Bortles all reside in the 9-11% range.
The Panthers and Broncos are the clear preferred ownership options for Week 10. The Broncos are at home but cost an additional $500. Both are hovering around average in run defense (ProFootballReference Expected Points), while occupying No.1 and No.2 spots in pass defense. The Titans struggle in both categories on offense (Carolina’s matchup) plus the Panthers cost $500 less, making them the better matchup-based play of the week. Stephen Gostkowski and Brandon McManushave become regular mentions as high-ownership kickers with top-2 rates this week above 10%.
AGAINST THE GRAIN
I expected a higher ownership mark for Kirk Cousins than 7%. At $6,500 and at home against the struggling (to be kind) Saints defense is an ideal scenario. DeSean Jackson got his rusty post-injury debut out of the way in Week 9 as Cousins has a full complement of weapons for this week. Landry Jones showed competency last time filling in for Ben Roethlisberger. At $6,200 he offers a quality combination of price and pass-catcher acumen. The downside of Pittsburgh this week is getting up on Cleveland and taking the air out of the ball with a positive game script.
Oakland stands out as the low-ownership (2%) DST play of Week 10. The Vikings are above-average on the ground, but struggle as a passing offense. The Raiders offense has been hot of late and a negative game script for Minnesota would be a major boon for Oakland’s defensive chances. In addition to the matchup, Oaklans at $4,300 offers more salary cap flexibility. Of the high-scoring team Vegas projections, Mason Crosby has the lowest ownership at kicker with 3% from Thursday. At $5,000, Crosby has a similar salary to much higher owned Stephen Gostkowski, Brandon McManus, and Justin Tucker.
For the rest of the high and low ownership players, plus example tournament and cash game lineups, check out the entire post at Footballguys.com.
Based on the provided snippet, the article highlights high ownership on the Patriots' offense and the Panthers/Broncos defenses, favoring the Panthers due to Teacher Loan Forgiveness Program matchup and cost. It suggests Kirk Cousins and the Raiders DST as appealing lower-owned plays.
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ReplyDeleteЗдравствуйте! Спасибо за обзор **Week 10 Ownership Highlights** — было интересно увидеть, как распределилась популярность игроков и какие решения оказались наиболее удачными. Особенно полезно сравнивать такие материалы с собственными прогнозами, чтобы лучше понимать тенденции; иногда даже темы вроде казино напоминают, насколько важен анализ вероятностей и статистики. Буду ждать следующий обзор и новые итоги недели.
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