As we
move toward the end of the season, college football becomes non-stop. Over the
next few weeks, you are going to continue to see more and more games that are
on non-typical college football days. This week we have a slate starting
Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Saturday. We are going to have our full slate
write-ups and projections on the FanDuel landing page on Footballguys.com, but below is an abridged
version of top stacks, player rankings, and value plays.
Top Stacks-
1) Matt Johnson and Roger Lewis- Outside of Corey Coleman, Roger Lewis is one of the
premiere wide receivers in college football, and has the upside that very
little wide receivers have. This stack is going to force you to have to go cheap at other positions, but it has the upside that no other stack has. If you are comfortable taking a chance on a few cheap players to make this work, this could win you a GPP, as these two players should both have big games against Western Michigan this week.
2) Zach Terrell and Corey Davis- Zach Terrell and Corey Davis connected for three touchdowns
last week, and while we are not expecting a three touchdown game again, he has
the upside to continue his streak of 7 receptions and over 100 yards. If Davis
is able to do that and add a touchdown or two this stack could pay off. This
will be the most popular stack on the day, so it may make sense to avoid it in
a GPP, as while Davis had the big game last week, he did not score a touchdown
in either of the two previous weeks.
3) Zach Terrell and Daniel Braverman- Let’s
not forget about Daniel Braverman just because of two bad games in a row. Braverman is still second in overall receptions, 9th
in total yardage, and 7th in touchdowns. While he has struggled over the
last two games, this game is still expected to be a high scoring game, and he
will be under-owned due to his recent struggles.
QB Rankings-
1) Matt Johnson- One of the elite quarterbacks in college football having
thrown for 300+ yards in every game this season. He is the premiere cash game
option and the only question is whether or not you are comfortable with the
team that you build around him, as the price is high. While the matchup is an
average one for Bowling Green it really doesn’t matter as Johnson has thrown
for four or more touchdowns in four straight games.
2) Zach Terrell- While Zach Terrell had a great game, it really should have
been better. Ball State was never competitive in this game, and Terrell who had
over 300 yards in the first half, did not throw the ball much in the second half.
This game was expected to stay within two touchdowns, so it is one of those
situations where the dreaded unexpected blowout came back to hurt us. Terrell
is in another great situation and this time around he is an underdog in a game
that is projected to score 75 points. This is a tremendous opportunity for
Terrell, as he will be forced to throw the ball a significant amount of volume
to keep up with Bowling Green. Bowling Green this season has allowed 269 yards
passing per game, and Terrell has the upside to easily exceed that.
3) Cooper Rush- This is the value play of the week, as going with
Rush allows you to spend up elsewhere. He has thrown for over 300 yards in five
of his nine games this year, and has thrown for two or more touchdowns in five
straight games. With only one quarterback on FanDuel it makes it difficult to
start him over Terrell or Matt Johnson due to their upside, but if you’re
looking to spend up on wide receivers, Rush is a GPP option this week due to the upside if he is able to throw for 300+ yards and a few touchdowns and you're able to spend up on other players.
RB Rankings-
1) Anthone Taylor- FanDuel has not adjusted the pricing of Anthone Taylor, and
he immediately becomes the top value option on this slate at $5,900. Northern
Illinois is coming off of a game where they allowed 291 yards rushing against
Toledo last week. Taylor has supplanted Jordan Johnson as the number one on the
depth chart and had 16 carries compared to Johnson’s 14. Taylor is a must play
this week in cash games, and a great value play in GPP’s.
2) Joel Bouagnon- Joel Bouagnon had his
100 yard game streak broken last week, but continued his six game touchdown
streak. While he is extremely expensive this week, he is in a great matchup as
Buffalo has not faced many quality running backs this year, and we expect
Bouagnon to have the safest amount of volume this week.
3) Terry Swanson- $6,300 It’s hard to start a backup running back in fantasy sports,
as there is a perceived risk that he is going to get less opportunities than a
starter on another team. This is not the case for Terry Swanson. At $6,300, he
is one of the top plays of the week, as in his six games that he has played
this season he has averaged 120 yards per game with four touchdowns. The
matchup is a difficult one as Central Michigan has only allowed 135 yards per
game rushing, but Swanson should still see 15-18 carries which at $6,300 it
doesn’t take much to make value.
4) Kareem
Hunt- $8,100 Kareem Hunt
is finally returning to health which is great to see him being fantasy relevant
again after a tremendous 2014. The matchup is a difficult one as Central Michigan
has held opponents to 135 yards per game, and he is still sharing carries with
Terry Swanson, so while he has great GPP upside, he is a difficult start in
cash games.
5) Jamauri Bogan- $7,700 The salary is
expensive for Bogan this week, but the Freshman continues to amaze with his
electric speed on a weekly basis. He has put up eight touchdowns over his last
three games, including a 171 yard performance last week against Ball State.
With an over/under of 75, everyone is in play in this Bowling Green Western
Michigan game, but Bogan makes for a great GPP play this week. There is some
risk with Bogan, as two of his last four games he has seen less than ten
carries, so be careful in how you use him for cash games.
WR
Rankings-
1) Corey Davis-$7,800 Corey Davis
has returned to 2014 form over the last three games as he has seven receptions in
each of the games and has gone over 100 yards in each of those contests. The
price isn’t ideal, as there is some risk regarding whether he will find the end
zone, but David makes for a great cash game play and a great pairing with
Terrell this week.
2) Roger Lewis- The problem with this play isn’t the player, it’s the price. At $8,900 this severely limits your ability to fill a roster with players that you like. With that said in this high scoring game, Lewis is going to play a major role in it. Over his last five games he has had 100+ yards and at least a touchdown in every single game. He is as safe as they come, but we prefer to spend up elsewhere this week.
3)
Sebastian Smith- $5,700
Ohio’s offense is not a great one as they are only averaging 18 points per game
over their last three games. This hasn’t stopped Sebastian Smith who is one of
the best wide receivers in the MAC conference. Smith has nine or more
receptions in three of his last four games, and at $5,700 provides much needed
salary relief on this slate.
4) Kenny
Golladay- $6,900- Golladay becomes a must play if Tommylee Lewis is out, and it is looking like
he will be unable to go in this game. In games where Lewis has been out or
limited, Golladay has had his three biggest games of the year including last
week where he had eight receptions for 128 yards and a touchdown.
TE Rankings-
1) Matt Weiser-$3,700 Over his last six games, Matt Weiser is averaging 6.3
receptions per game, which for a fantasy tight end is tremendous. Find a way to
fit him into your cash games this week, as he is the only tight end that you
can feel safe about.
2) Ben McCord- $2,900 If you have to save $800, McCord is the only other tight end on this slate worth considering. Over his last four games he is averaging three receptions per game, and he has two 100 yard games earlier this season which put him into the category of being able to consider for GPP’s. We don’t love him in cash this week, as Weiser is a much safer option, but he should be considered if you’re looking to save money or as a GPP contrarian play.
Top Value Plays Under $6,000
1) Sebastian Smith- $5,700
2) Corey Jones- $5,700
3) Ryan Burbrink- $5,500
4) Jesse Kroll- $5,200
5) Anthony Rice- $5,300
6) Ron Willoughby- $5,800
2) Corey Jones- $5,700
3) Ryan Burbrink- $5,500
4) Jesse Kroll- $5,200
5) Anthony Rice- $5,300
6) Ron Willoughby- $5,800
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