Thursday, December 3, 2015

Early FanDuel Portfolio Week 13: Quarterbacks

Thursday is my main day for creating my weekly FanDuel 'board' of my market share. In addition to checking out the great Interactive Value Charts at Footballguys for top values based on salary, projections, and H-Value, I mine the matchups for the best plays. Putting both groups together, I create my market share targets for Thursday locking lineups. Here is my quarterback board for Week 13 early contests:

30% Cam Newton
20% Matt Hasselbeck
15% Andy Dalton
15% Alex Smith
15% Jay Cutler
10% Ryan Fitzpatrick
10% Tom Brady
5%  Ryan Tannehill

I also threw in a Ben Roethlisberger and Kirk Cousins stack each for tournament play outside of the above mix.

Diversity is very important as it keeps a DFS player grounded in thinking a singular player is a guaranteed stud performer and provides many combinations of players to hit a top score. With mix-and-match lineup construction, the above lineup rates are a guide and will vary by a few percentage points when actually constructing lineups.

Cam Newton and Andy Dalton are top Footballguys projections, along with top matchups of the week. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tom Brady, and Ryan Tannehill have strong matchups only. Matt Hasselbeck, Alex Smith, and Jay Cutler are the strong projection group.

The past few weeks I have been consciously stacking my quarterbacks in play for the week with at least one of their top targets, if not two, more and more in lineups with success.

Finally, I continue to update my calculations with Footballguys projections all the way until mid-morning on Sunday. Those updated ownership goals shift Sunday lineups to even out the alterations from Thursday lineups.

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