Once again we had a week where the loss of players—Andy
Dalton, Greg Olsen, LeGarrette Blount, Thomas Rawls and Jonathan Stewart in
particular—sank some lineups. Week 15 is here, so there is no time for the
wicked to rest—the staff is back at work and has entered some lineups for your
Thursday night perusal.
You can see all the staff picks here
but I’ve cherry picked some of the selections I thought were interesting to
discuss.
Staff
Trends
Three Weeks with David Johnson
Johnson is in the majority of Thursday lineups again
this week, even with the price up to $6500. The matchup with the Philadelphia
Eagles is a good one with the Eagles giving fantasy running backs an average of
29.3 points per week during the last three games. As Chad Parsons points out in this
week’s Value Article: “Johnson's
price looks like a misprint for Week 15, a clear starting running back - with
plenty of pass-catching upside - on a quality offense for cheap RB2 prices. 15
touches or more is his floor with multiple touchdown potential. Plugging
Johnson into lineups this week is the easiest decision out there.” Until
the price goes up, expect the staff to keep riding him.
Maximum Maclin
All six staff members have Jeremy Maclin in their
lineups, and at $6700 against the woeful Baltimore Ravens pass defense, it’s no
surprise. Alex Smith may not be Drew Brees when it comes to passing yards, but
he does enough and Maclin should easily beat his somewhat disappointing numbers
from last week. 80-100 yards and a touchdown on half a dozen or so catches
would not be out of the question—solid production for a bargain price.
Megatron!
We know the Saints (normally) give up a lot of
points and yards, while also scoring them. It’s a self-fulfilling circle of
life—score a lot, get scored on a lot. Which means that the Lions are in a good
place to score a ton of points this week and if they are scoring, Calvin Johnson
is catching. The $8000 is a little steep, coming off two below-average games
but that might also mean people will pass him by. It could be a good way to get
points others will not be looking at. Deep threats get over on this
defense—Calvin Johnson should add to that this week.
Diamonds
in the Rough
Brandon Bolden ($5500) should get most of the work between the
tackles against the Titans and while it’s actually not an easy matchup on the
ground, he did well in limited snaps last week against Houston.
At $7800, Matt Stafford might not seem a
value until you remember how bad the Saints defense is. I love guys like Cam
Newton, Russell Wilson and Tom Brady but you save yourself a thousand or so
going with Stafford or Ryan Fitzpatrick
($7800). Stafford has the prime matchup, but Fitz has been on a tear and is
a worthy player with two weapons (Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker) who could
be over 1,000 yards by the end of the year. Both Stafford and Fitzpatrick are
quality starters who could be top fantasy quarterbacks this week.
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