Saturday, December 12, 2015

Early FanDuel Portfolio Week 14: Wide Receivers & Tight Ends

Thursday is my main day for creating the weekly FanDuel 'board' of player ownership market share. In addition to checking out the great Interactive Value Charts at Footballguys for top values based on salary, projections, and H-Value, I mine the matchups for the best plays. Putting both groups together creates market share targets for Thursday locking lineups. Here is my wide receiver and tight end board from Week 14 early contests:

35% Odell Beckham Jr. (top matchup)
30% Alshon Jeffery (top matchup)
25% Brandon Marshall
25% Antonio Brown
25% DeAndre Hopkins
20% Jeremy Maclin
20% Eric Decker
20% Calvin Johnson
20% Larry Fitzgerald (out of play)
20% Anquan Boldin
15% Danny Amendola
15% Doug Baldwin (top matchup)
15% Mike Evans (top matchup)
15% Sammy Watkins (top matchup)

30% Delanie Walker
25% Greg Olsen
15% Travis Kelce (top matchup)
15% Jordan Reed
15% Austin Seferian-Jenkins (top matchup)

Diversity is very important as it keeps a DFS player grounded in thinking a singular player is a guaranteed stud performer and provides many combinations of players to hit a top score. With mix-and-match lineup construction, the above lineup rates are a guide and will vary by a few percentage points when actually constructing lineups.

Baldwin, Evans, and Watkins were heavily-owned in Thursday contests - with good matchups to boot - but are low projections by Footballguys. Amendola is a monitor player after limited practice reports this week. 

Walker is in a tier of his own. Austin Seferian-Jenkins has a case to be in the 20-25% range saving $500+ in salary space and having strong ownership in Thursday contests. He has an ideal matchup with New Orleans.

The past few weeks I have been consciously stacking my quarterbacks in play for the week with at least one of their top targets, if not two, more and more in lineups with success.

Finally, I continue to update my calculations with Footballguys projections all the way until mid-morning on Sunday. Those updated ownership goals shift Sunday lineups to even out the alterations from Thursday lineups. 

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