Marquise Williams QB - North Carolina |
GAMES VEGAS ODDS
Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt -1.5/66.0
North Carolina vs South Carolina -2.5/64.0
TCU vs Minnesota -14.0/57.5
Ohio vs Idaho +9.0/54.0
Oklahoma State vs Central Michigan +21.5/54.0
TX San Antonio vs Arizona -31.0/52.5
Duke vs Tulane -9.5/47.5
FIU vs UCF -17.0/46.5
Michigan vs Utah -5.5/46.0
Some quick notes to get us started here while looking at the game slate and the odds associated with them. The first thing I like to look for are the high totals and for this Thursday we have the first two games with game totals over 64.0 total points and even better both of these have a point spread that are under 3 points so we have to feel good about those games putting up a lot of points with both offenses in a back to back type of game. These type of high scoring games usually tend to favor the passing game and this is where you should look for your QB and WR's.
Oklahoma State being favored by -21.5 points and Arizona by -31.0 points makes those games look very lopsided but in college football that is not always a bad thing. Scoring points helps your team in the polls and even in the 4th quarter when your team is up by 3 or 4 touchdowns it is still very likely that your starters will be on the field trying to make plays and find the endzone. I usually like to target teams Running Backs in games that have a higher point spread.
The games that come in under a 50.0 over/under total on Vegas are the games that you want to be careful with and pick and choose players here sparingly. If you are playing in GPPs and want to be contrarian picking players from these type of games would set you apart from the pack.
Now onto a few notable picks at each position for this Thursday game slate.
STRONG vs VALUE PLAYS
Strong Play: QB Marquise Williams $10,100 - North Carolina
Value Play: QB Thomas Sirk $5,100 - Duke
Cheaper Options: Travis Wilson $7,500, Cooper Rush $6,500
Strong Play: RB Devontae Booker $9,300 - Utah
Strong Play: RB Leon Allen $9,000 - Western Kentucky
Value Play: RB Aaron Green $8,300 - TCU
Value Play: RB Rodrick Williams Jr. $6,000 - Minnesota
Cheaper Options: William Stanback $7,600, Elijhaa Penny $6,500
Strong Play: WR Josh Doctson $8,300 - TCU
Strong Play: WR Taywan Taylor $6,500 - Western Kentucky
Value Play: WR Dezmon Epps $5,900 - Idaho
Value Play: WR Kenneth Scott $5,900 - Utah
Value Play: WR Kolby Listenbee $5,900 - TCU
Cheaper Options: Ryan Switzer $5,500, Mack Hollins $5,200, Antwane Grant $5,200
Strong Play: TE Jonnu Smith $4,000 - FIU
Value Play: TE Deon Watson $3,400 - Idaho
Cheaper Options: Jerell Adams $2,700
For any CFB, NFL, or DFS questions please feel free to ask me over at Twitter @JamesBrimacombe
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