The 49ers held out Vernon Davis and tried out seven other tight ends during the course of the game - yes, seven.
The team has to be preparing for life after Davis - which may be an ominous sign for Davis' fantasy prospects during 2015. I'm not implying he's done just yet, but the time is coming when he will be done (and last year's lackluster 26/245/2 receiving campaign on Davis' part doesn't inspire a lot of confidence for 2015).
After Colin Kaepernick and the first team left the field, most of the completions went to tight ends: Garrett Celek (two targets for 2/29/1), Blake Bell (two for 2/15/0), Asante Cleveland (three for 3/10/0),
Vance McDonald (one for 1/8/0) and Derek Carrier (one for 1/5/0).
What does that mean for your Week 1 lineups at FanDuel?
It means that you should avoid Vernon Davis because the entire tight end position in San Francisco is too unsettled. Davis has a Week 1 salary of $5,300, tied for the 13th most expensive tight end. Davis is currently TE25 in the Footballguys staff's consensus rankings (season-long).
That means that Davis is too poor a value to start in DFS cash games. Should we anticipate that he'll have a sufficiently low ownership percentage, with sufficiently high upside potential, to warrant a start in tournaments?
No. It's okay to sacrifice a bit of value for the sake of uniqueness -- but that's too much of a sacrifice. Moreover, in San Francisco's run-heavy offense, Vernon Davis really doesn't have anything like the upside potential he had earlier in his career.
"Don't start Vernon Davis in FanDuel contests in Week 1" might seem like obvious advice, but sometimes stating the obvious has value in illustrating certain principles. In this case, the principles we are urging are (1) in cash games, to look for value (in the form of relatively high projected points per dollar of salary), and (2) in tournaments, to look for players with a high ceiling, especially players expected to be uncommonly owned, but don't sacrifice too much value in pursuit of those latter traits!
The preseason opener certainly highlighted some concerns for the 49ers, especially in the tight end position. With such uncertainty around Vernon Davis’ role and performance, your advice to avoid him in DFS cash games makes sense. It's always worth looking into alternative strategies when evaluating fantasy lineups. For those who like to dig into analytics and trends, platforms like FL Crime Statistics showcase how data can be leveraged effectively in various fields. Let's hope the 49ers solidify their lineup as the season progresses.
ReplyDeleteThe 49ers' preseason performance highlights some potential shifts in their offensive focus, especially with the heavy utilization of tight ends. While Vernon Davis may still contribute, the team's trial of seven tight ends could indicate a broader strategy or even a transition plan for life after Davis. For FanDuel Week 1 lineups, consider looking at emerging tight ends like Garrett Celek, who showed promise with a touchdown and solid yardage. For more strategies on efficient decision-making and planning, check out Smart Square kumc. Staying ahead of the curve can be the difference in fantasy success
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