Sometimes, the wisdom of the crowd is just that: The wisdom of the crowd.
Other times, following the crowd -- especially in GPPs -- is the quickest way to kill your week.
And when it comes to Week 1 -- and especially because of the pricing that came out before training camp battles were won and lost and injuries knocked out some big names -- the wisdom of the crowd is going to have a strong pull.
If you’re playing cash, sure, fine, go with the crowd. But if you’re a tournament player, you need to swerve. No two ways about it.
And for Week 1, I see a minefield out there of inexpensive players who are going to be widely owned. Generally speaking, these are players I’m staying from in order to differentiate my rosters.
QB: Sam Bradford at $7800. He’s the 17th-ranked FanDuel quarterback this week, and he could easily end up being the number one guy by the time the week is over. I’m probably going to play a few lineups with him, but I do expect his ownership in GPPs to be in the high teens. At this price point, you can go Ryan Tannehill ($8,000) at Washington or Teddy Bridgewater ($7,200) at San Francisco and probably see ownership in the low single digits. You will give up some upside, but if Bradford turns in a good, not great, game, you’ll be fine.
RB: Alfred Blue ($5,800) against the Chiefs and Ameer Abdullah ($5,900) at San Diego. Blue is the clear lead back while Arian Foster is out, and Abdullah is the pre-season sizzle machine. While I expect both backs to be serviceable week 1, I think the better play in this price range are the less sexy Christopher Ivory at $6,400. He probably won’t see work on passing downs, but against the Browns, he could be in line for a 20-100-1 day, which I think will trump his slightly-lower priced rivals.
WR: I think Davante Adams at $5,500 will be the highest owned player Sunday. As such, he won’t find his way into any of my lineups. I’m willing to risk he’s not going to blow up. Give me Terrance Williams against the Giants at $5,300, give me Nelson Agholor against Atlanta for $5,500, give me Charles Johnson against the 49ers for $5,600, give me John Brown against the Saints for $6,000. I think all of them offer the same or more upside than Adams and at a fraction of the ownership.
TE: I feel like Travis Kelce at $6,000 will be the hot pick, and he very well might explode. I’ll have some exposure to him, but at a notch below, Greg Olsen at $5,900 against the Jags feels like the safer play.
K and DEF: Man, do I wish I didn’t have to deal with kickers and defense. I hate it. My tips include: Try to match them together if you can, even better if you can match them with a RB, even better if you can match them against lousy opposing offense.
Other times, following the crowd -- especially in GPPs -- is the quickest way to kill your week.
And when it comes to Week 1 -- and especially because of the pricing that came out before training camp battles were won and lost and injuries knocked out some big names -- the wisdom of the crowd is going to have a strong pull.
If you’re playing cash, sure, fine, go with the crowd. But if you’re a tournament player, you need to swerve. No two ways about it.
And for Week 1, I see a minefield out there of inexpensive players who are going to be widely owned. Generally speaking, these are players I’m staying from in order to differentiate my rosters.
QB: Sam Bradford at $7800. He’s the 17th-ranked FanDuel quarterback this week, and he could easily end up being the number one guy by the time the week is over. I’m probably going to play a few lineups with him, but I do expect his ownership in GPPs to be in the high teens. At this price point, you can go Ryan Tannehill ($8,000) at Washington or Teddy Bridgewater ($7,200) at San Francisco and probably see ownership in the low single digits. You will give up some upside, but if Bradford turns in a good, not great, game, you’ll be fine.
RB: Alfred Blue ($5,800) against the Chiefs and Ameer Abdullah ($5,900) at San Diego. Blue is the clear lead back while Arian Foster is out, and Abdullah is the pre-season sizzle machine. While I expect both backs to be serviceable week 1, I think the better play in this price range are the less sexy Christopher Ivory at $6,400. He probably won’t see work on passing downs, but against the Browns, he could be in line for a 20-100-1 day, which I think will trump his slightly-lower priced rivals.
WR: I think Davante Adams at $5,500 will be the highest owned player Sunday. As such, he won’t find his way into any of my lineups. I’m willing to risk he’s not going to blow up. Give me Terrance Williams against the Giants at $5,300, give me Nelson Agholor against Atlanta for $5,500, give me Charles Johnson against the 49ers for $5,600, give me John Brown against the Saints for $6,000. I think all of them offer the same or more upside than Adams and at a fraction of the ownership.
TE: I feel like Travis Kelce at $6,000 will be the hot pick, and he very well might explode. I’ll have some exposure to him, but at a notch below, Greg Olsen at $5,900 against the Jags feels like the safer play.
K and DEF: Man, do I wish I didn’t have to deal with kickers and defense. I hate it. My tips include: Try to match them together if you can, even better if you can match them with a RB, even better if you can match them against lousy opposing offense.
What is the theory behind matching a DEF, K and RB? They should be mutually exclusive so what is the advantage?
ReplyDeleteThe theory is that a good defense creates a positive game script for the offense. So when teams have a lead, particularly in the fourth quarter, they'll ride their running backs to victory.
DeleteIf we can identify a one-sided game, where we think the defense is a good play, then we can also identify a positive correlation between that team defense and running back.
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ReplyDeleteGreat insights on differentiating lineups in Week 1! It's essential to avoid popular picks that might become overexposed in GPPs. This strategy can definitely give you an edge. If you want to stay on top of criminal records and public information, it's always good to check out reliable resources. For instance, Fort Wayne Inmate Search and get access to up-to-date.
ReplyDeleteGreat insights on Week 1 pricing and GPP strategies! It's crucial to differentiate yourself from the crowd in tournaments, especially with players like Sam Bradford or Alfred Blue who might be over-owned. To ensure you're well-prepared, consider doing a thorough Gaston Crime Records to stay updated on any criminal history that could affect team rosters or player availability. Understanding this type of background info can give you an edge when making fantasy decisions based on player profiles. Keep up the good work and trust your instincts!
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteGreat insights on how to approach Week 1 pricing and differentiate your GPP rosters! It's crucial to look beyond the crowd and consider the less obvious plays. Just like evaluating players for fantasy football, it's important to dig deeper when researching criminal records and public information. If you're looking to conduct a thorough background check or search for arrest records in Texas, check out Collin County Criminal History for up-to-date arrest data and inmate search tools. Best of luck with your fantasy picks and research!
ReplyDeleteWhen navigating the week 1 lineup, it's crucial to keep track of the shifts in player pricing and ownership trends. Sometimes, avoiding popular choices in tournaments can give you the edge. As you make your picks, don't forget to consider other factors like injury reports and matchups that might give overlooked players a boost. For example, choosing a low-owned option for Find Arrests in Arizona can help differentiate your strategy, just like avoiding highly owned players in fantasy sports.
ReplyDeleteGreat breakdown of Week 1 strategies! Differentiating rosters is definitely key to staying ahead in tournaments. While QB options like Sam Bradford are tempting, exploring less popular picks like Teddy Bridgewater can be a smart move. Similarly, avoiding high-ownership players like Davante Adams and opting for alternatives like Charles Johnson or John Brown makes sense. Speaking of strategy, tools for organization and efficiency can make all the difference in preparation. Check out this resource for managing tasks more effectively: EhallPass Mobile App. Looking forward to seeing more of your insights this season!
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