Thursday, September 17, 2015

Exposed: Week 2

Check out this week's Exposed, highlighting some of the best and worst matchups of the week for FanDuel contests, courtesy of IDP guru Aaron Rudnicki. The whole thing is free this week, but here is an excerpt:


Steve Smith, WR, BAL @ OAK ($6,700)
Miglio: The Raiders looked like the worst team in the league at home last week, and they lost both starting safeties to injury. The only issue here is that the Baltimore Ravens offense looked positively pitiful against the Denver Broncos in Week 1. Big bounce-back week coming for Steve Smith in a much better matchup?
Rudnicki: The Raiders secondary is really bad, and corner D.J. Hayden has really struggled in coverage. With both starting safeties going down with injuries, Hayden may not get much help against Smith this week and I think Flacco will be able to take full advantage. 
Torrey Smith, WR, SF @ PIT ($5,900)
Miglio: It was a poor matchup for Steve Smith’s former teammate against the Minnesota Vikings last week, though the 49ers moved the ball without him at will at times. This week is the opposite -- the Pittsburgh Steelers seem to pose little defensive threat, and a guy like Torrey Smith might cash in with a huge game.
Rudnicki: The Steelers pass defense is such a mess that New England didn’t show any interest in running the ball against them. The 49ers passing attack is a big step down from the Patriots, but they also have a run game that could result in plenty of stacked fronts. If so, Smith should see plenty of single coverage and have a shot at a huge game. Boldin andVernon Davis probably aren’t bad options here either.


Alshon Jeffery, WR, CHI vs. ARI ($8,100)
Miglio: Patrick Peterson has gotten his butt handed to him by top receivers on a few occasions, but he started the 2015 season off on the right foot by clamping down on Brandin Cooks. Of course, Cooks isn’t a prototypical No. 1 like Alshon Jeffery, but this doesn’t seem like a great matchup for a guy who still might be affected by a balky calf.
Rudnicki: Jeffery figures to see a lot of Patrick Peterson in this matchup, and I think that’s a matchup to avoid. The Bears will likely rely heavily on the run game and short passing game with Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett. 
Allen Robinson, WR, JAX vs. MIA ($5,700)
Miglio: Preseason hype failure! Allen Robinson and the entire Jacksonville offense was a dud in Week 1. More of the same could be coming in Week 2 against Miami.
Rudnicki: Robinson could only manage one catch on six targets against Carolina last week with several drops, and I imagine Brent Grimes will be matched up with him quite a bit. The Dolphins weakness seems to be over the middle rather than outside, and I expect a lot more from their pass rush this week.

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